Okay, shots. We talk a lot about shots because, well, shots lead to goals. Obviously you can't have a goal without first attempting a shot. I know that was a deep thought, but just go with me here.
We put a lot of emphasis on shots here and have dug into their expectation leading to goals. It's backed by the belief that shots are important statistics in correlation to team success. Now there are plenty of caveats to shots and we use them to influence our ideas of what is good or bad. Matthias has taken time to explain at least some of them.
So with all that said you can't read too much into all of these numbers. Take for instance the fact that Frederico Higuian creates 7.03 shots per 90 minutes. That's nearly a shot and a quarter more than Brad Davis at 5.79. Is Higuian a better shot creator because he creates one additional shot over the course of a single match? If that shot is from zone 4 or even 5, the value of that single shot becomes marginalized in that specific instance.
Despite all of those various acknowledgements of how this is marginally interesting, and yet mostly a useless exercise, I put together a follow-up of last week's top 50 individual shots creators in Major League Soccer. I decided it was best to cut up this data and present it via a tiered system to make it a bit more palatable and to highlight the players that have set themselves apart from their peers. Also, this allows me to be a bit creative in the tier process.
IBC Root Beer Tier - "The Best of the Best."
|
Player |
Club |
POS |
MINS |
G |
A |
SHTS |
Key Passes |
Sh-C |
Sh-C p90 |
| 1 |
Marco Di Vaio |
MTL |
F |
326 |
1 |
1 |
24 |
4 |
29 |
8.01 |
| 2 |
Clint Dempsey |
SEA |
M |
393 |
6 |
3 |
23 |
7 |
33 |
7.56 |
| 3 |
Federico Higuain |
CLB |
F |
538 |
4 |
2 |
20 |
20 |
42 |
7.03 |
| 4 |
Robbie Keane |
LA |
F |
450 |
4 |
1 |
22 |
12 |
35 |
7.00 |
| 5 |
Pedro Morales |
VAN |
M |
472 |
1 |
2 |
19 |
15 |
36 |
6.86 |
| 6 |
Thierry Henry |
NY |
F |
449 |
2 |
0 |
23 |
9 |
32 |
6.41 |
Oh, yeah... Marco Di Viao. He's also pretty good at this whole soccer thing. I guess we can all say that we could have guessed every singl--what the hell is Pedro Morales doing in there??? I guess that probably explains a lot about what's been happening in Vancouver. He's second overall in total Shots Created and he could very well be a shoo-in for MLS Newcomer of the Year. He's like the offensive equivalent of what Jose Goncalves was last year to New England. I only have one question: who is this Camilo guy everyone was talking about?
Stewart's Root Beer Tier - "You don't have IBC? Who doesn't have IBC?"
|
Player |
Club |
POS |
MINS |
G |
A |
SHTS |
Key Passes |
Sh-C |
Sh-C p90 |
| 7 |
Landon Donovan |
LA |
M-F |
450 |
0 |
2 |
13 |
14 |
29 |
5.80 |
| 8 |
Brad Davis |
HOU |
M |
311 |
0 |
2 |
3 |
15 |
20 |
5.79 |
| 9 |
Graham Zusi |
KC |
F-M |
450 |
1 |
3 |
9 |
16 |
28 |
5.60 |
| 10 |
Diego Valeri |
POR |
M |
579 |
1 |
0 |
19 |
16 |
35 |
5.44 |
| 11 |
Dom Dwyer |
KC |
F |
427 |
4 |
0 |
22 |
3 |
25 |
5.27 |
| 12 |
Leo Fernandes |
PHI |
F |
436 |
2 |
1 |
13 |
11 |
25 |
5.16 |
| 13 |
Lloyd Sam |
NY |
M |
621 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
20 |
35 |
5.07 |
| 14 |
Mike Magee |
CHI |
F |
450 |
1 |
2 |
15 |
8 |
25 |
5.00 |
| 15 |
Giles Barnes |
HOU |
M |
527 |
0 |
1 |
22 |
6 |
29 |
4.95 |
| 16 |
Justin Mapp |
MTL |
M |
585 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
18 |
32 |
4.92 |
| 17 |
Michael Bradley |
TOR |
M |
433 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
17 |
23 |
4.78 |
| 18 |
Mauro Diaz |
DAL |
M |
604 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
16 |
32 |
4.77 |
| 19 |
Quincy Amarikwa |
CHI |
F |
548 |
4 |
1 |
16 |
12 |
29 |
4.76 |
| 20 |
Felipe Martins |
MTL |
M |
626 |
1 |
2 |
18 |
13 |
33 |
4.74 |
| 21 |
Gilberto |
TOR |
F |
423 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
9 |
22 |
4.68 |
| 22 |
Cristian Maidana |
PHI |
M |
425 |
0 |
2 |
11 |
9 |
22 |
4.66 |
| 23 |
Deshorn Brown |
COL |
F |
448 |
1 |
0 |
19 |
4 |
23 |
4.62 |
| 24 |
Chris Wondolowski |
SJ |
F-M |
450 |
3 |
0 |
20 |
3 |
23 |
4.60 |
| 25 |
Fabian Espindola |
DC |
F |
531 |
2 |
2 |
11 |
14 |
27 |
4.58 |
| 26 |
Michel |
DAL |
M-D |
401 |
3 |
2 |
11 |
7 |
20 |
4.49 |
| 27 |
Lamar Neagle |
SEA |
F |
506 |
2 |
2 |
16 |
6 |
24 |
4.27 |
| 28 |
Obafemi Martins |
SEA |
F |
620 |
2 |
4 |
13 |
12 |
29 |
4.21 |
| 29 |
Erick Torres |
CHV |
F |
603 |
6 |
0 |
22 |
6 |
28 |
4.18 |
| 30 |
Javier Morales |
RSL |
M |
527 |
0 |
2 |
7 |
15 |
24 |
4.10 |
Justin Mapp has the same amount of total Shots Created as Mauro Diaz in almost 20 minutes less field time. Try thinking about that next time you're frustrated by Mapp's hair line. Try.
Dom Dwyer does not go away. This guy could be someone that we may need to start legitimately talking about in the coming weeks. You should probably add Leo Fernandez and Lloyd Sam to that obnoxious hype list too.
Speaking of Sam, I added him to my MLS Fantasy Roster for tonight, hedging the bet that he finally scores a goal. At last look, the guy currently holds the highest xGoal predictor score without actually scoring a goal. If there was ever a guy that was "due" to score a goal, it's him and I'm virtually betting on it happening.
On the note of not scoring goals, "Hi, Landon Donovan". Who, in case you didn't notice, is still a good player even when not putting the ball in the back of the net. Because, you know, skillz.
Barqs Root Beer Tier - "Old Reliable"
|
Player |
Club |
POS |
MINS |
G |
A |
SHTS |
Key Passes |
Sh-C |
Sh-C p90 |
| 31 |
Dwayne De Rosario |
TOR |
M |
254 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
1 |
11 |
3.90 |
| 32 |
Mauro Rosales |
CHV |
M |
626 |
0 |
3 |
10 |
14 |
27 |
3.88 |
| 33 |
Kenny Miller |
VAN |
F |
537 |
3 |
1 |
14 |
8 |
23 |
3.85 |
| 34 |
Bradley Wright-Phillips |
NY |
F |
358 |
1 |
0 |
12 |
3 |
15 |
3.77 |
| 35 |
Darren Mattocks |
VAN |
F |
580 |
2 |
3 |
13 |
8 |
24 |
3.72 |
| 36 |
Jack McInerney |
MTL |
F |
436 |
2 |
1 |
13 |
4 |
18 |
3.72 |
| 37 |
Will Bruin |
HOU |
F |
539 |
3 |
1 |
14 |
7 |
22 |
3.67 |
| 38 |
Baggio Husidic |
LA |
M |
344 |
1 |
1 |
7 |
6 |
14 |
3.66 |
| 39 |
Bernardo Anor |
CLB |
M |
497 |
2 |
0 |
16 |
4 |
20 |
3.62 |
| 40 |
Hector Jimenez |
CLB |
M |
523 |
1 |
2 |
9 |
10 |
21 |
3.61 |
| 41 |
Teal Bunbury |
NE |
F |
630 |
0 |
1 |
14 |
10 |
25 |
3.57 |
| 42 |
Diego Fagundez |
NE |
M-F |
584 |
0 |
0 |
19 |
4 |
23 |
3.54 |
| 43 |
Sal Zizzo |
KC |
F |
433 |
0 |
2 |
10 |
5 |
17 |
3.53 |
| 44 |
Kenny Cooper |
SEA |
F |
358 |
2 |
1 |
12 |
1 |
14 |
3.52 |
| 45 |
Benny Feilhaber |
KC |
M |
539 |
1 |
1 |
8 |
12 |
21 |
3.51 |
| 46 |
Juninho |
LA |
M |
448 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
7 |
17 |
3.42 |
| 47 |
Andrew Wenger |
PHI |
F |
528 |
2 |
0 |
14 |
6 |
20 |
3.41 |
| 48 |
Eric Alexander |
NY |
M |
451 |
0 |
3 |
7 |
7 |
17 |
3.39 |
| 49 |
Alex |
CHI |
M |
512 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
7 |
19 |
3.34 |
| 50 |
Saer Sene |
NE |
M |
355 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
5 |
13 |
3.30 |
There are roughly 19 names here and I'm not going to go through them all. But key surprises are Jack McInerney, who everyone continues to think is "slumping" when he's not scoring goals. Baggio Husidic is making waves in that flashy new diamond attack in LA. Husidic is filling the hole that once upon a time existed out wide and makes the Robbie Rogers-trade look worse and worse, as he likely won't make it past a bench position upon return. Bernardo Anor has been doing a lot for Columbus out of the midfield but, perhaps, the bigger story than Anor--or even the LA trade for Rogers--is that fact that Gregg Berhalter pretty much stole Hector Jimenez who is looking brilliant in his new Crew colors.
Lastly, three other off season moves are having impacts with their new clubs.
- Teal Bunbury is finally being "the other guy" and taking shots in New England. Lord knows they need to start converting those opportunities.
- Sal Zizzo wasn't exactly a headline move this off-season, but since being let go by Portland this past off-season he's been a gold staple in the Sporting KC line-up.
- Kenny Cooper is having himself a quietly productive first season in the Emerald City. Yes, it's towards the bottom of the line-up and it doesn't really mean much of anything. But he's been reliable and fits in with Clint Dempsey and Oba Martins, playing the third/fourth fiddle and doing whatever needs to happen. Great role for him and he's doing it well.
There are a lot of things to take away from this. Like why didn't I just make two tiers: IBC Rootbeer and Barqs, which is basically all you're going to go with unless there is some local brewed Root beer that you want to try for funsies. Anyways, some information here. Not necessarily good information, but at this stage of analysis and data when it comes to MLS, and really soccer in general, what is "good" information?
