Does Passing Matter?

Does Passing Matter?

I really want passing to matter. I watch, on average, 968 passes in a soccer game, and I’d like to think that completing them actually means something more than launching the ball into the first row.

Watching a beautiful through ball unhinge a defense is like watching a sun set on the bay. But that beauty doesn’t mean it matters, at least not to the data. Not if you care about winning.

Let me show you the correlation between a team’s pass completion rate and their expected goal difference over the last three years in Major League Soccer:

Read More

Can the Philadelphia Union really be good when their passing is so bad?

Can the Philadelphia Union really be good when their passing is so bad?

The Philadelphia Union are off to their best start in team history. They sit among the league leaders with 17 points in the first eight games and have looked in control in doing so, amassing +6 xGD in the process. But a funny thing happened on the way to the top of the league table. The Union’s pass completion percentage has dropped to 66%, the worst rate in the league in the last 10 years.

Read More

2021 MLS Season Previews: Colorado Rapids, Philadelphia Union, and Vancouver Whitecaps

2021 MLS Season Previews: Colorado Rapids, Philadelphia Union, and Vancouver Whitecaps

We’re publishing three team previews every weekday until MLS First Kick on April 16th. You can find all of them here.

Today we’re looking at three teams that have reason for optimism ahead of the 2021 season.

Read More

Offseason Outlook: Philadelphia Union

Offseason Outlook: Philadelphia Union

The Philadelphia Union are still enjoying their tenth and best season. They won their first playoff game against the I-95 rival New York Red Bulls. They won their most ever road games and finished third in a competitive eastern conference. Jim Curtin was given the freedom by SD Ernst Tanner to change formations, and he implemented enough tactical diversity to maintain an edge. It was the culture building season the franchise had been working toward, but their ability to continue this momentum will come down to the key new faces that Tanner is working diligently to add.

First, let’s document some visual proof of the relative Union’s success. The below chart reveals the five game moving average of the Union’s points per game over their history. Even a five game average is rough on the eyes, so I added one of the all-time great smoothing techniques to help. Velleman’s Smoother, developed by Paul Velleman, is the Johnny Walker Blue of smoothers. Let your eyes drink it up.

Read More

Philadelphia Union: Postseason Preview

Philadelphia Union: Postseason Preview

2019 REVIEW

Philadelphia is a city that seems to adorn itself with the pageantry of blue-collar work. The philosophy of determination and deep city grit is a sort of tattoo etched upon the marrow of its teams’ legacy through the years. The Flyers, Phillies, and Eagles all have that reputation, and the city’s adopted mascot/avatar is named “Gritty” for a very good reason. This year’s Union side maybe the iteration that most embodies that most core Philadelphian philosophy.

You sometimes might hear a coach says talk about their system or style of play and they say something like “we want the team to be the star”. There is no other team in this playoff pool that embodies this theme greater than the Philadelphia Union. They’ve been built through almost every available acquisition method in the MLS GM handbook. 

Read More

Philadelphia Union 2019 Season Preview

Philadelphia Union 2019 Season Preview

The Union faithful have been donning their Sherlock Holmes deerstalkers this offseason. They been dealt a small handful of clues to answer some pretty big offseason questions. Was their 2018 season really their best ever? What became of Borek Dockal? What new tactics will new GM Ernst Tanner ask Jim Curtin to employ? How did they actually land their biggest signing ever in Marco Fabian, and what does this all mean for 2019?

So let’s begin our tour to unravel these not-so-elementary mysteries, my dear Dr. Watson….

Read More

Postseason Preview: Philadelphia Union

Postseason Preview: Philadelphia Union

Is this the year that the Philadelphia Union break through? That is the big question on the minds of the Union faithful. In their nine seasons the team has reached the MLS Cup playoffs three times and matched that with three US Open Cup Final appearances, but they’ve collected a record of 0 wins and 6 losses in those pivotal moments. Generally speaking they’ve been outclassed in these games as well, allowing 13 goals and scoring just 4. Are these results just the growing pains of a new franchise or is something else going on?

Read More